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Satellite Flaring Paper

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027 All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO)

An AARO Information Paper Correlations of Starlink1 Satellite Flaring with UAP Observations

December 2024

Introduction With the advent of satellite communication mega-constellations including the SpaceX Starlink, Eutelsat OneWeb, Amazon Kuiper, and Chinese G60 constellations, there are currently thousands of artificial satellites in Low Earth Orbit (LEO)1 and tens of thousands more planned for launch over the next decade [1]. Satellite flaring is an optical phenomenon which occurs when sunlight reflects off a satellite's surfaces, such as antennas or solar panels. This paper discusses specular and diffuse reflection of sunlight from man-made satellites and how these effects can be misinterpreted as unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP). It also provides a method for observers to determine whether observations may be attributable to satellite flaring.

Background Using reflected sunlight from man-made satellites to observe and track their movement goes back to the earliest days of space exploration [2]. As noted above, several companies develop and launch mega-constellations, providing internet access to most of the globe. Currently, there are nearly 10,000 artificial satellites in LEO and this number is expected to grow several-fold over the next decade [1]. Figure 1 illustrates the location of Starlink satellites in orbit as of December 2, 2024, at 11:00 AM Eastern Standard Time. As of the end of November 2024, there were over 6,700 Starlink satellites in orbit.

Figure 2 illustrates the concepts of diffuse and specular reflections, which describe how light bounces off objects. Figure 3 shows how sunlight reflected in these two ways is directed toward an observer on the surface of the Earth. As seen in the left side of Figure…

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